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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+2.65vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+2.31vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38+0.12vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.42-0.19vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.42-0.05vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.94-1.40vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College0.41+0.09vs Predicted
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8Princeton University0.84-1.86vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.11-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Webb Institute1.7317.4%1st Place
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4.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7712.4%1st Place
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3.12Cornell University2.3824.1%1st Place
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3.81University of Pennsylvania2.4216.6%1st Place
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4.95Fordham University1.428.9%1st Place
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4.6Fordham University1.9411.5%1st Place
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7.09SUNY Maritime College0.412.8%1st Place
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6.14Princeton University0.844.2%1st Place
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7.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.112.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Rayne Duff | 17.4% | 17.7% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 12.4% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
Bridget Green | 24.1% | 21.6% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
Jordan Bruce | 16.6% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
Beckett Kumler | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 9.8% | 4.7% |
Peter Lobaugh | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 2.9% |
Ben Hosford | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 24.8% | 31.8% |
Asher Green | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 18.4% | 19.6% | 15.3% |
Charlie Lawrence | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 22.4% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.