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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.79+1.56vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.16+1.54vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.13+0.99vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.72-1.23vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-0.45vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.14vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.32-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Cornell University1.7930.0%1st Place
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3.54University of Pennsylvania1.1614.8%1st Place
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3.99Fordham University1.1311.2%1st Place
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2.77University of Pennsylvania1.7226.4%1st Place
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4.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.567.9%1st Place
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4.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.296.1%1st Place
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5.73Princeton University-0.323.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 30.0% | 25.4% | 19.9% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Adra Ivancich | 14.8% | 17.7% | 17.2% | 18.8% | 16.2% | 11.3% | 4.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 11.2% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 17.0% | 19.8% | 15.3% | 8.2% |
| Torrey Chisari | 26.4% | 21.8% | 21.2% | 15.6% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Brook Wood | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 18.1% | 22.2% | 15.6% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 23.9% | 20.9% |
| Carly Mraz | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 19.4% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.