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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.94+3.69vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.42+1.77vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.73+0.75vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.42+0.88vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38-1.89vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-1.69vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.84-0.79vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College0.41-0.99vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.11-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69Fordham University1.949.8%1st Place
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3.77University of Pennsylvania2.4216.3%1st Place
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3.75Webb Institute1.7316.6%1st Place
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4.88Fordham University1.428.9%1st Place
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3.11Cornell University2.3824.4%1st Place
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4.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7713.8%1st Place
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6.21Princeton University0.844.2%1st Place
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7.01SUNY Maritime College0.413.1%1st Place
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7.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.112.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Peter Lobaugh | 9.8% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 3.2% |
Jordan Bruce | 16.3% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
Rayne Duff | 16.6% | 18.1% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
Beckett Kumler | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 4.5% |
Bridget Green | 24.4% | 20.2% | 18.4% | 14.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 13.8% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 2.2% |
Asher Green | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 22.2% | 14.7% |
Ben Hosford | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 23.9% | 32.8% |
Charlie Lawrence | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 20.6% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.