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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.72+1.75vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.16+1.65vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.79-0.42vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.82vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.32+0.77vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.13-2.05vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75University of Pennsylvania1.7226.2%1st Place
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3.65University of Pennsylvania1.1613.2%1st Place
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2.58Cornell University1.7929.5%1st Place
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4.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.296.8%1st Place
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5.77Princeton University-0.323.2%1st Place
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3.95Fordham University1.1312.4%1st Place
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4.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.568.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torrey Chisari | 26.2% | 24.4% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Adra Ivancich | 13.2% | 15.2% | 19.8% | 17.9% | 17.5% | 11.6% | 4.7% |
| Sophia Devling | 29.5% | 24.6% | 21.1% | 13.3% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 23.8% | 20.9% |
| Carly Mraz | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 18.9% | 50.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 12.4% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 17.5% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 7.4% |
| Brook Wood | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 21.7% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.