← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.85+5.55vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley1.57+8.09vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley2.60+4.25vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University4.21-0.67vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University3.98-1.17vs Predicted
-
6California Poly Maritime Academy3.79-1.80vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Davis2.13+1.63vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Cruz1.87+1.40vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64+1.06vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University3.50-5.03vs Predicted
-
11California State University Monterey Bay2.30-2.73vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Davis0.12+1.50vs Predicted
-
13California State University Monterey Bay1.35-2.00vs Predicted
-
14Stanford University3.08-8.02vs Predicted
-
15California State University Monterey Bay0.32-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.850.1%1st Place
-
10.09University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
-
7.25University of California at Berkeley2.600.0%1st Place
-
3.33Stanford University4.210.2%1st Place
-
3.83Stanford University3.980.2%1st Place
-
4.2California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.1%1st Place
-
8.63University of California at Davis2.130.0%1st Place
-
9.4University of California at Santa Cruz1.870.0%1st Place
-
10.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
-
4.97Stanford University3.500.1%1st Place
-
8.27California State University Monterey Bay2.300.0%1st Place
-
13.5University of California at Davis0.120.0%1st Place
-
11.0California State University Monterey Bay1.350.0%1st Place
-
5.98Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
-
12.93California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Soper | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Aubrey Toole | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 9.5% | 4.2% |
| Cody Shevitz | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Harrison Hatton | 24.3% | 19.4% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Doane | 19.1% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kelly | 14.0% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Mickail Murawski | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 1.5% |
| Erik Lund | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 2.6% |
| Nick Dugdale | 10.5% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Schoch | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Hagerman | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 23.5% | 46.7% |
| Kellsy Panno | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 18.4% | 13.6% | 8.6% |
| Eliza Richartz | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Janet Rumsey | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 13.1% | 26.6% | 33.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.