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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.46+5.77vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.73+1.36vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.79+2.66vs Predicted
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4Palm Beach Atlantic University0.60+2.33vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.55-1.27vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.45+0.64vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-0.55+2.44vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.12-0.34vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida-0.58+0.64vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.94-4.05vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-0.19-2.40vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.42-2.90vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University-0.33-4.00vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-2.46-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.77University of South Florida0.466.5%1st Place
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3.36University of Miami1.7322.1%1st Place
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5.66Rollins College0.798.9%1st Place
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6.33Palm Beach Atlantic University0.606.7%1st Place
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3.73Jacksonville University1.5521.1%1st Place
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6.64University of South Florida0.456.8%1st Place
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9.44Florida Institute of Technology-0.552.5%1st Place
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7.66Florida State University0.124.7%1st Place
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9.64University of South Florida-0.581.7%1st Place
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5.95Jacksonville University0.949.7%1st Place
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8.6Eckerd College-0.193.4%1st Place
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9.1Rollins College-0.423.2%1st Place
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9.0Jacksonville University-0.332.3%1st Place
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13.12Embry-Riddle University-2.460.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach O'connor | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Black | 22.1% | 22.2% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Matzky | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Ramia | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Grayson Tella | 21.1% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sara Menesale | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Samantha Covell | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 18.9% | 5.3% |
| Samantha Eckert | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
| Esme Pray | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 20.3% | 6.0% |
| Darby Smith | 9.7% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Anderson Osinski | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 2.8% |
| Noah Belson | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 3.9% |
| Cheyenne Dooley | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 3.6% |
| Jess Dai | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 75.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.