Race 1B

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Erich Laughlin 9.4% 9.1% 9.3% 11.2% 13.9% 13.5% 15.2% 11.5% 5.8% 1.3%
Jared Cohen 18.8% 17.8% 17.2% 15.5% 11.0% 8.8% 6.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Lucas Randle 10.4% 9.7% 10.9% 11.1% 12.8% 13.6% 14.4% 10.4% 5.5% 1.2%
James Cottage 12.0% 12.6% 12.7% 13.2% 15.7% 13.1% 10.7% 7.0% 2.5% 0.5%
Alexander Read 19.7% 19.6% 16.9% 13.2% 10.6% 10.0% 6.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Ernest Glukhov 14.8% 14.8% 14.8% 14.9% 13.6% 11.7% 8.3% 4.7% 1.9% 0.4%
Conor Farah 8.6% 9.4% 9.5% 11.5% 11.3% 12.4% 15.0% 13.1% 7.3% 1.7%
Brian Polak 2.9% 3.4% 4.5% 4.3% 5.6% 8.6% 10.3% 21.2% 24.6% 14.5%
Sebastian Bustamante 1.9% 1.7% 1.8% 2.0% 1.8% 3.1% 4.7% 9.4% 21.6% 52.0%
Laura Jayne 1.5% 2.2% 2.4% 3.0% 3.7% 5.3% 8.3% 16.6% 28.9% 28.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.