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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+3.35vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.42+1.76vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.73+0.63vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38-0.89vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.94-0.23vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.41+0.96vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.42-2.00vs Predicted
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8Princeton University0.84-1.84vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.11-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7712.4%1st Place
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3.76University of Pennsylvania2.4217.4%1st Place
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3.63Webb Institute1.7317.3%1st Place
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3.11Cornell University2.3823.1%1st Place
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4.77Fordham University1.949.8%1st Place
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6.96SUNY Maritime College0.413.0%1st Place
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5.0Fordham University1.428.6%1st Place
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6.16Princeton University0.845.9%1st Place
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7.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.112.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 12.4% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 1.8% |
Jordan Bruce | 17.4% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
Rayne Duff | 17.3% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
Bridget Green | 23.1% | 21.6% | 18.6% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
Peter Lobaugh | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 9.1% | 2.9% |
Ben Hosford | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 24.0% | 31.2% |
Beckett Kumler | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 4.2% |
Asher Green | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 18.9% | 21.9% | 15.4% |
Charlie Lawrence | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 19.1% | 42.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.