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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+3.84vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.13+1.97vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.72-0.23vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.79-1.47vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-0.43vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.16-2.47vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.32-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.296.7%1st Place
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3.97Fordham University1.1310.5%1st Place
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2.77University of Pennsylvania1.7225.7%1st Place
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2.53Cornell University1.7930.4%1st Place
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4.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.568.2%1st Place
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3.53University of Pennsylvania1.1616.1%1st Place
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5.78Princeton University-0.322.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annika VanderHorst | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 18.6% | 23.8% | 21.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 10.5% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 18.1% | 18.7% | 17.1% | 6.3% |
| Torrey Chisari | 25.7% | 24.3% | 19.4% | 14.9% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Sophia Devling | 30.4% | 25.4% | 19.8% | 13.5% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Brook Wood | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 21.9% | 16.3% |
| Adra Ivancich | 16.1% | 15.0% | 18.4% | 20.0% | 16.2% | 9.8% | 4.5% |
| Carly Mraz | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 19.2% | 50.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.