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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.42+2.79vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.73+1.68vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38+0.11vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.94+0.65vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.42-0.02vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-1.64vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College0.41+0.05vs Predicted
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8Princeton University0.84-1.92vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.11-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79University of Pennsylvania2.4216.6%1st Place
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3.68Webb Institute1.7317.2%1st Place
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3.11Cornell University2.3824.4%1st Place
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4.65Fordham University1.9410.1%1st Place
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4.98Fordham University1.428.8%1st Place
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4.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7711.9%1st Place
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7.05SUNY Maritime College0.412.8%1st Place
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6.08Princeton University0.845.2%1st Place
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7.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.112.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Jordan Bruce | 16.6% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
Rayne Duff | 17.2% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
Bridget Green | 24.4% | 20.0% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Peter Lobaugh | 10.1% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 3.3% |
Beckett Kumler | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 10.1% | 5.0% |
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 11.9% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 1.9% |
Ben Hosford | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 24.0% | 32.9% |
Asher Green | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 19.1% | 21.1% | 13.4% |
Charlie Lawrence | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 21.4% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.