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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.13+2.92vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+2.82vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.72-0.23vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.79-1.44vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.16-1.43vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-1.44vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.32-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92Fordham University1.1312.4%1st Place
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4.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.296.3%1st Place
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2.77University of Pennsylvania1.7225.4%1st Place
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2.56Cornell University1.7929.9%1st Place
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3.57University of Pennsylvania1.1614.6%1st Place
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4.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.568.3%1st Place
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5.81Princeton University-0.323.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Cutler | 12.4% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 19.7% | 15.0% | 6.9% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 18.2% | 23.5% | 20.8% |
| Torrey Chisari | 25.4% | 24.5% | 20.1% | 15.2% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Sophia Devling | 29.9% | 24.3% | 20.4% | 14.5% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Adra Ivancich | 14.6% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 18.9% | 15.9% | 11.2% | 4.7% |
| Brook Wood | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 18.8% | 22.6% | 15.5% |
| Carly Mraz | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 11.3% | 19.9% | 50.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.