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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.94+3.67vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.42+1.73vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.73+0.63vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38-0.87vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-0.60vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.84+0.15vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.42-2.05vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.11-0.74vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.41-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67Fordham University1.949.7%1st Place
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3.73University of Pennsylvania2.4217.0%1st Place
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3.63Webb Institute1.7316.8%1st Place
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3.13Cornell University2.3824.2%1st Place
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4.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7712.3%1st Place
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6.15Princeton University0.845.1%1st Place
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4.95Fordham University1.429.2%1st Place
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7.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.112.9%1st Place
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7.07SUNY Maritime College0.412.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Lobaugh | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 7.7% | 3.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 17.0% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Rayne Duff | 16.8% | 19.1% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Bridget Green | 24.2% | 20.6% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 12.3% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 6.8% | 1.9% |
| Asher Green | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 16.6% | 21.8% | 16.2% |
| Beckett Kumler | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 10.3% | 4.2% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 22.4% | 40.0% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 24.0% | 32.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.