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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.13+2.95vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+2.87vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.72-0.15vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.16-0.46vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-0.50vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.79-3.45vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.32-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95Fordham University1.1311.5%1st Place
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4.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.296.6%1st Place
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2.85University of Pennsylvania1.7224.1%1st Place
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3.54University of Pennsylvania1.1615.2%1st Place
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4.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.568.7%1st Place
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2.55Cornell University1.7930.2%1st Place
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5.73Princeton University-0.323.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Cutler | 11.5% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 7.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 24.9% | 21.9% |
| Torrey Chisari | 24.1% | 22.9% | 20.5% | 15.7% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Adra Ivancich | 15.2% | 18.4% | 16.6% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 4.5% |
| Brook Wood | 8.7% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 19.5% | 20.8% | 14.5% |
| Sophia Devling | 30.2% | 24.6% | 20.3% | 13.6% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Carly Mraz | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 17.4% | 50.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.