← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Beckett Kumler 8.8% 9.8% 10.7% 12.1% 13.5% 14.2% 15.3% 11.5% 4.1%
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones 13.2% 12.3% 14.3% 11.8% 14.1% 13.5% 11.7% 7.4% 1.8%
Bridget Green 21.3% 20.8% 18.1% 16.2% 10.1% 8.1% 3.7% 1.4% 0.3%
Jordan Bruce 16.8% 16.6% 16.2% 15.8% 12.3% 10.9% 7.5% 3.0% 0.9%
Peter Lobaugh 11.9% 11.3% 13.0% 13.1% 12.8% 14.1% 13.4% 7.9% 2.5%
Asher Green 5.2% 5.1% 6.0% 7.2% 9.8% 14.3% 16.9% 21.0% 14.3%
Charlie Lawrence 2.4% 2.9% 3.1% 4.0% 5.7% 6.9% 11.1% 21.3% 42.7%
Rayne Duff 17.2% 17.8% 15.0% 14.6% 15.7% 9.3% 7.0% 2.8% 0.8%
Ben Hosford 3.3% 3.4% 3.4% 5.2% 6.1% 8.7% 13.5% 23.8% 32.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.