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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.42+3.98vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+2.36vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38+0.21vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.42-0.27vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.94-0.47vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.84+0.13vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.11+0.35vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.73-4.32vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.41-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98Fordham University1.428.8%1st Place
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4.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.7713.2%1st Place
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3.21Cornell University2.3821.3%1st Place
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3.73University of Pennsylvania2.4216.8%1st Place
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4.53Fordham University1.9411.9%1st Place
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6.13Princeton University0.845.2%1st Place
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7.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.112.4%1st Place
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3.68Webb Institute1.7317.2%1st Place
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7.02SUNY Maritime College0.413.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beckett Kumler | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 4.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 13.2% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 1.8% |
| Bridget Green | 21.3% | 20.8% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Bruce | 16.8% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 11.9% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 7.9% | 2.5% |
| Asher Green | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 21.0% | 14.3% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 21.3% | 42.7% |
| Rayne Duff | 17.2% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Ben Hosford | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 23.8% | 32.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.