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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.72+1.77vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.16+1.48vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.82vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.79-1.43vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-0.43vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.32-0.16vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.13-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77University of Pennsylvania1.7226.8%1st Place
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3.48University of Pennsylvania1.1615.0%1st Place
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4.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.296.2%1st Place
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2.57Cornell University1.7929.8%1st Place
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4.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.567.8%1st Place
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5.84Princeton University-0.323.1%1st Place
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3.94Fordham University1.1311.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torrey Chisari | 26.8% | 22.7% | 19.8% | 15.0% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 15.0% | 18.3% | 17.6% | 19.3% | 15.1% | 11.3% | 3.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 6.2% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 17.9% | 25.5% | 19.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 29.8% | 25.1% | 19.9% | 13.6% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Brook Wood | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 20.2% | 22.1% | 15.0% |
| Carly Mraz | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 17.5% | 53.5% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 11.2% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 19.3% | 15.0% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.