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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.46+0.36vs Predicted
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2Boston University-0.64+0.86vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.99+0.30vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-1.76+0.01vs Predicted
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5Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.23-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.36Salve Regina University0.4670.5%1st Place
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2.86Boston University-0.6411.3%1st Place
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3.3University of New Hampshire-0.997.3%1st Place
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4.01Middlebury College-1.763.8%1st Place
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3.46Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.237.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 70.5% | 23.8% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Josh Sultanik | 11.3% | 30.5% | 28.1% | 20.8% | 9.3% |
| Henry Poynter | 7.3% | 19.9% | 26.5% | 28.0% | 18.4% |
| Talia Trigg | 3.8% | 9.8% | 16.1% | 22.2% | 48.1% |
| Samuel Honor | 7.1% | 16.0% | 24.9% | 27.9% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.