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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25+6.50vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.93+5.63vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.80+3.34vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.66+4.46vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island-0.09+6.44vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.13+1.48vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.48-0.68vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-2.13vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-2.28vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.51-3.90vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.01+0.10vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University-0.58+0.76vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-7.57vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.18-2.36vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University-0.80-1.59vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.05-8.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.256.3%1st Place
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7.63Tufts University0.936.6%1st Place
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6.34University of Rhode Island1.808.3%1st Place
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8.46Tufts University0.664.3%1st Place
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11.44University of Rhode Island-0.092.4%1st Place
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7.48Bowdoin College1.137.0%1st Place
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6.32Bowdoin College1.4810.0%1st Place
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5.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.5810.4%1st Place
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6.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.558.6%1st Place
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6.1Tufts University1.519.8%1st Place
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11.1Northeastern University0.012.5%1st Place
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12.76Northeastern University-0.581.4%1st Place
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5.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.4512.8%1st Place
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11.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.181.9%1st Place
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13.41Northeastern University-0.800.9%1st Place
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7.79University of Rhode Island1.056.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Katz-Christy | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Haley Andreasen | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Declan Botwinick | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Spencer Asofsky | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 12.8% |
| Rebecca Schill | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Robert Ulmer | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Elliott | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Clark Morris | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 9.2% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 19.9% | 24.8% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Escandon | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 11.7% |
| Adrien Blanc | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 19.1% | 37.6% |
| Adam Strobridge | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.