Race 2B

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jared Cohen 19.7% 17.3% 15.7% 15.4% 12.7% 9.8% 6.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Ernest Glukhov 16.6% 14.1% 13.6% 15.4% 12.7% 11.9% 8.9% 5.3% 1.5% 0.2%
Conor Farah 8.2% 8.5% 10.7% 10.2% 12.3% 12.4% 14.6% 13.2% 7.6% 2.4%
Lucas Randle 9.9% 10.4% 11.2% 10.8% 13.2% 13.2% 14.2% 11.7% 4.6% 0.7%
Erich Laughlin 8.9% 9.6% 12.4% 10.4% 12.5% 14.2% 14.3% 11.3% 5.4% 0.8%
Alexander Read 19.5% 19.4% 17.0% 14.4% 11.7% 9.6% 5.0% 2.3% 1.0% 0.2%
James Cottage 11.3% 13.9% 12.3% 14.3% 13.5% 12.0% 12.0% 7.5% 2.8% 0.2%
Brian Polak 2.5% 3.6% 3.1% 4.3% 5.1% 7.8% 11.9% 21.2% 24.5% 15.8%
Laura Jayne 2.2% 2.0% 2.6% 3.0% 4.2% 5.7% 7.8% 14.5% 30.9% 27.2%
Sebastian Bustamante 1.1% 1.2% 1.4% 1.7% 2.1% 3.4% 5.0% 10.5% 20.9% 52.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.