← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.33+6.47vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont4.60+4.63vs Predicted
-
3Boston College4.89+2.71vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University4.52+3.04vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University4.33+2.49vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College3.74+4.00vs Predicted
-
7Brown University4.49+0.09vs Predicted
-
8Yale University4.85-2.28vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College4.06-0.19vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College3.25+1.46vs Predicted
-
11Salve Regina University3.92-1.70vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-5.43vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University4.78-6.87vs Predicted
-
15Boston University2.00-0.10vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island3.14-4.15vs Predicted
-
17University of New Hampshire2.78-3.90vs Predicted
-
18University of Connecticut2.51-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.330.1%1st Place
-
6.63University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
-
5.71Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
-
7.04Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
-
7.49Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
-
10.0Connecticut College3.740.0%1st Place
-
7.09Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
-
5.72Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
-
8.81Dartmouth College4.060.0%1st Place
-
11.46Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
-
9.3Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
-
6.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
-
6.13Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
-
14.9Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
-
11.85University of Rhode Island3.140.0%1st Place
-
13.1University of New Hampshire2.780.0%1st Place
-
13.76University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Leighton | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Clinton Hayes | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Sinks | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alan Palmer | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tomas Hornos | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Matt Sterett | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Fred Strammer | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Barrows | 11.7% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Williams | 3.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Alex Takata | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 5.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Samuel Ingham | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cy Thompson | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 19.6% | 44.6% |
| Alex Baittinger | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 7.3% |
| Gregg Griffin | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 16.4% |
| Sean Andrew | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 21.8% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.