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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.46+0.34vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.99+1.29vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-1.76+1.01vs Predicted
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4Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.23-0.53vs Predicted
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5Boston University-0.64-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.34Salve Regina University0.4672.4%1st Place
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3.29University of New Hampshire-0.997.5%1st Place
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4.01Middlebury College-1.763.7%1st Place
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3.47Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.236.6%1st Place
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2.89Boston University-0.649.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 72.4% | 21.6% | 5.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Henry Poynter | 7.5% | 19.7% | 26.6% | 28.5% | 17.7% |
| Talia Trigg | 3.7% | 9.8% | 16.4% | 22.4% | 47.7% |
| Samuel Honor | 6.6% | 17.5% | 23.1% | 28.5% | 24.4% |
| Josh Sultanik | 9.8% | 31.4% | 28.8% | 19.8% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.