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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+4.46vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25+5.42vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55+3.81vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+1.89vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.66+3.60vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.05+1.72vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.48-0.85vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.93-0.19vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.51-2.92vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.13-2.61vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.80-4.74vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.01-0.90vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island-0.09-1.51vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University-0.80-0.77vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University-0.58-2.11vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.18-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.4512.4%1st Place
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7.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.256.6%1st Place
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6.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.557.5%1st Place
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5.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.5810.7%1st Place
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8.6Tufts University0.665.5%1st Place
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7.72University of Rhode Island1.056.1%1st Place
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6.15Bowdoin College1.4810.3%1st Place
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7.81Tufts University0.935.9%1st Place
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6.08Tufts University1.5110.2%1st Place
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7.39Bowdoin College1.137.8%1st Place
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6.26University of Rhode Island1.807.7%1st Place
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11.1Northeastern University0.012.6%1st Place
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11.49University of Rhode Island-0.092.2%1st Place
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13.23Northeastern University-0.801.3%1st Place
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12.89Northeastern University-0.581.2%1st Place
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11.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.182.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Heitkoetter | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Elliott | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Robert Ulmer | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Broadus | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Adam Strobridge | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Clark Morris | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Schill | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Declan Botwinick | 7.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Cho | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 9.4% |
| Spencer Asofsky | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 12.4% |
| Adrien Blanc | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 20.5% | 32.5% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 14.9% | 19.7% | 26.5% |
| Lucas Escandon | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.