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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute2.29+0.59vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-0.10+1.81vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.07-0.35vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19-1.48vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-1.28-0.12vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-2.20-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59Webb Institute2.290.6%1st Place
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3.81University of Delaware-0.100.0%1st Place
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2.65Fordham University1.070.2%1st Place
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2.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.2%1st Place
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4.88Rutgers University-1.280.0%1st Place
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5.55U. S. Military Academy-2.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Stansky | 57.7% | 28.8% | 11.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Whittington | 4.0% | 9.5% | 17.6% | 43.6% | 21.1% | 4.2% |
| Matthew Winter | 17.1% | 26.4% | 34.6% | 18.1% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 19.7% | 30.6% | 31.1% | 15.8% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Scheaffer | 1.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 14.5% | 48.9% | 27.3% |
| Austen Wilcox | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 5.8% | 23.6% | 68.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.