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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.07+1.67vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute2.29-0.41vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19-0.50vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.10-0.21vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-2.20+0.56vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.28-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67Fordham University1.070.2%1st Place
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1.59Webb Institute2.290.6%1st Place
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2.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.2%1st Place
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3.79University of Delaware-0.100.0%1st Place
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5.56U. S. Military Academy-2.200.0%1st Place
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4.89Rutgers University-1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Winter | 16.9% | 26.6% | 34.1% | 17.8% | 4.4% | 0.2% |
| Cody Stansky | 57.8% | 28.3% | 11.3% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 19.0% | 32.2% | 32.3% | 13.1% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Bryan Whittington | 4.8% | 9.3% | 16.6% | 44.1% | 21.6% | 3.6% |
| Austen Wilcox | 0.4% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 5.9% | 19.7% | 70.9% |
| Jonathan Scheaffer | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 16.5% | 51.1% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.