Race 3B

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jared Cohen 18.2% 17.0% 15.8% 14.1% 12.9% 9.6% 7.8% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Alexander Pfeffer 13.0% 12.2% 13.2% 14.3% 13.4% 13.1% 12.8% 5.7% 2.4% 0.1%
Erich Laughlin 8.9% 9.3% 10.4% 11.4% 13.0% 13.8% 14.5% 12.0% 5.5% 1.1%
James Cottage 11.6% 13.4% 12.2% 12.6% 13.6% 13.2% 11.8% 7.8% 3.4% 0.7%
Ryan Ververs 22.9% 18.9% 17.5% 14.1% 10.6% 8.6% 4.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Ernest Glukhov 13.0% 14.1% 14.9% 14.3% 13.2% 13.0% 9.7% 5.8% 1.8% 0.1%
Conor Farah 7.0% 9.4% 8.9% 9.8% 12.2% 14.3% 16.4% 12.5% 7.4% 2.0%
Brian Polak 2.9% 2.9% 3.6% 4.3% 5.1% 7.4% 10.3% 22.9% 24.2% 16.4%
Laura Jayne 1.7% 1.9% 2.5% 3.0% 3.6% 4.0% 6.8% 15.9% 30.7% 29.9%
Sebastian Bustamante 1.0% 0.9% 1.1% 2.1% 2.6% 2.9% 5.0% 11.6% 23.3% 49.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.