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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida Institute of Technology0.73+1.61vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.10-0.47vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.50-0.07vs Predicted
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4University of Florida-1.21+0.70vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-1.69+0.21vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-0.52-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Florida Institute of Technology0.7318.2%1st Place
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1.53Jacksonville University2.1060.7%1st Place
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2.93University of South Florida0.5012.5%1st Place
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4.7University of Florida-1.212.1%1st Place
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5.21Rollins College-1.691.5%1st Place
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4.02Embry-Riddle University-0.525.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Smucker | 18.2% | 31.3% | 28.6% | 16.0% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Owen Bannasch | 60.7% | 28.3% | 8.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Luke Justin | 12.5% | 23.4% | 33.9% | 20.1% | 8.9% | 1.1% |
| Zuzanna Barska | 2.1% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 19.0% | 36.1% | 29.3% |
| Henry Campbell | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 11.7% | 22.4% | 56.9% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 5.1% | 9.1% | 15.3% | 31.6% | 27.1% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.