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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.07+1.65vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute2.29-0.40vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19-0.52vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-1.28+0.83vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.10-1.11vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-2.20-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65Fordham University1.070.2%1st Place
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1.6Webb Institute2.290.6%1st Place
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2.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.2%1st Place
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4.83Rutgers University-1.280.0%1st Place
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3.89University of Delaware-0.100.0%1st Place
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5.55U. S. Military Academy-2.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Winter | 16.6% | 27.8% | 34.0% | 17.4% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Cody Stansky | 58.9% | 25.4% | 13.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 19.3% | 32.6% | 30.8% | 15.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Scheaffer | 0.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 16.6% | 49.8% | 23.9% |
| Bryan Whittington | 4.0% | 9.1% | 15.8% | 41.9% | 23.8% | 5.4% |
| Austen Wilcox | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 6.5% | 20.6% | 69.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.