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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.07+1.65vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute2.29-0.42vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University-1.28+1.81vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19-1.45vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.10-1.14vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-2.20-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65Fordham University1.070.2%1st Place
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1.58Webb Institute2.290.6%1st Place
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4.81Rutgers University-1.280.0%1st Place
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2.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.2%1st Place
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3.86University of Delaware-0.100.0%1st Place
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5.55U. S. Military Academy-2.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Winter | 16.9% | 28.7% | 32.4% | 17.2% | 4.5% | 0.3% |
| Cody Stansky | 59.6% | 26.6% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Scheaffer | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 14.9% | 50.5% | 24.3% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 16.9% | 31.2% | 35.4% | 13.6% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Bryan Whittington | 4.2% | 8.9% | 15.8% | 44.1% | 21.5% | 5.5% |
| Austen Wilcox | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 6.6% | 20.7% | 69.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.