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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.07+1.71vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19+0.49vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute2.29-1.42vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.10-0.22vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-1.28-0.11vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-2.20-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Fordham University1.070.2%1st Place
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2.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.2%1st Place
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1.58Webb Institute2.290.6%1st Place
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3.78University of Delaware-0.100.0%1st Place
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4.89Rutgers University-1.280.0%1st Place
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5.56U. S. Military Academy-2.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Winter | 15.5% | 25.4% | 36.5% | 18.6% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 20.0% | 32.9% | 28.8% | 15.1% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Cody Stansky | 58.0% | 28.7% | 10.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Whittington | 4.7% | 9.3% | 16.4% | 45.7% | 21.1% | 2.8% |
| Jonathan Scheaffer | 1.3% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 14.6% | 47.9% | 28.0% |
| Austen Wilcox | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 24.5% | 68.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.