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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute2.29+0.59vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19+0.53vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.07-0.36vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-1.28+0.84vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-2.20+0.57vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-0.10-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59Webb Institute2.290.6%1st Place
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2.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.2%1st Place
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2.64Fordham University1.070.2%1st Place
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4.84Rutgers University-1.280.0%1st Place
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5.57U. S. Military Academy-2.200.0%1st Place
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3.83University of Delaware-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Stansky | 57.8% | 28.1% | 11.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 19.6% | 30.1% | 31.1% | 16.3% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Winter | 16.5% | 27.9% | 34.6% | 17.3% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Scheaffer | 0.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 14.5% | 51.3% | 24.2% |
| Austen Wilcox | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 6.4% | 18.1% | 72.1% |
| Bryan Whittington | 4.8% | 8.7% | 15.9% | 43.4% | 24.1% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.