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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute2.29+0.60vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.07+0.61vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19-0.46vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.10-0.21vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-1.28-0.10vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-2.20-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.6Webb Institute2.290.6%1st Place
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2.61Fordham University1.070.2%1st Place
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2.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.2%1st Place
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3.79University of Delaware-0.100.0%1st Place
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4.9Rutgers University-1.280.0%1st Place
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5.56U. S. Military Academy-2.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Stansky | 57.1% | 28.2% | 12.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Winter | 18.2% | 27.7% | 33.6% | 15.8% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 18.6% | 31.2% | 30.9% | 16.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Bryan Whittington | 4.6% | 8.8% | 16.9% | 45.4% | 21.6% | 2.7% |
| Jonathan Scheaffer | 1.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 15.2% | 47.8% | 28.0% |
| Austen Wilcox | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 4.9% | 23.8% | 68.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.