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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute2.29+0.49vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.07+0.41vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.04+0.47vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.10-0.30vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-1.15-0.10vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.28-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.49Webb Institute2.290.6%1st Place
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2.41Fordham University1.070.2%1st Place
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3.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.040.1%1st Place
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3.7University of Delaware-0.100.0%1st Place
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4.9U. S. Military Academy-1.150.0%1st Place
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5.03Rutgers University-1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Stansky | 64.1% | 25.6% | 7.9% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Winter | 20.4% | 39.7% | 23.9% | 11.3% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Mueller | 7.7% | 14.4% | 28.8% | 26.7% | 17.4% | 5.0% |
| Bryan Whittington | 4.9% | 12.1% | 24.4% | 31.5% | 20.6% | 6.5% |
| Blair Stewart | 1.5% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 14.6% | 30.1% | 41.1% |
| Jonathan Scheaffer | 1.4% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 13.6% | 27.9% | 46.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.