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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+1.60vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.78+1.84vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.32+0.01vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.77+1.22vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University-1.38-0.95vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.90-0.99vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-0.06-0.23vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College0.44-2.08vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-1.81-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6College of Charleston2.4930.9%1st Place
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3.84North Carolina State University1.7813.9%1st Place
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3.01University of Miami2.3223.1%1st Place
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5.22Florida State University0.776.2%1st Place
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4.05Jacksonville University-1.3812.4%1st Place
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5.01University of South Florida0.907.2%1st Place
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6.77Rollins College-0.062.0%1st Place
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5.92Eckerd College0.444.0%1st Place
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8.58University of South Carolina-1.810.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Noah Zittrer | 30.9% | 25.4% | 17.6% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Adam Larson | 13.9% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
Atlee Kohl | 23.1% | 21.6% | 20.1% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Katie Nelson | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 19.9% | 11.4% | 1.3% |
Emily Allen | 12.4% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
Andreas Keswater | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 9.8% | 1.2% |
KA Hamner | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 16.8% | 40.0% | 10.7% |
Carter Morin | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 21.4% | 23.4% | 4.5% |
Jacob Crandall | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 8.9% | 81.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.