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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.90+4.02vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.49+0.68vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.78+0.75vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.77+1.05vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University-1.38-0.94vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.32-3.01vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.44-0.92vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.06-1.26vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-1.81-0.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02University of South Florida0.906.3%1st Place
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2.68College of Charleston2.4929.0%1st Place
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3.75North Carolina State University1.7814.6%1st Place
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5.05Florida State University0.778.0%1st Place
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4.06Jacksonville University-1.3812.0%1st Place
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2.99University of Miami2.3223.7%1st Place
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6.08Eckerd College0.443.9%1st Place
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6.74Rollins College-0.062.2%1st Place
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8.61University of South Carolina-1.810.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Keswater | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 19.0% | 16.8% | 9.7% | 1.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 29.0% | 23.7% | 18.7% | 14.9% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 14.6% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Katie Nelson | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 17.6% | 18.8% | 11.1% | 1.3% |
| Emily Allen | 12.0% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 17.7% | 13.9% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 23.7% | 20.3% | 19.1% | 17.5% | 11.5% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 23.7% | 24.6% | 4.6% |
| KA Hamner | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 17.4% | 39.5% | 10.9% |
| Jacob Crandall | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 9.2% | 81.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.