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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.52+0.29vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College0.96+1.57vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.56-0.12vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.61+0.06vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University0.75-1.14vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.69+0.31vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-1.45-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.520.8%1st Place
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3.57Ocean County College0.960.1%1st Place
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2.88Webb Institute1.560.1%1st Place
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4.06Fordham University0.610.0%1st Place
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3.86Rutgers University0.750.0%1st Place
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6.31University of Delaware-1.690.0%1st Place
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6.03U. S. Military Academy-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Sterling | 77.9% | 16.4% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Kempton | 5.3% | 18.4% | 23.8% | 26.1% | 20.0% | 5.8% | 0.6% |
| Casey Brown | 9.6% | 34.9% | 26.6% | 17.6% | 9.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| John Wachowicz | 2.3% | 12.9% | 19.6% | 22.2% | 29.9% | 11.3% | 1.8% |
| Courtney Williams | 4.4% | 14.1% | 20.4% | 25.4% | 25.0% | 9.0% | 1.7% |
| Ben Fairer | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 31.7% | 55.5% |
| Victor Ladd | 0.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 9.2% | 40.4% | 40.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.