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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+1.62vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.78+1.78vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-1.38+1.13vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.32-1.07vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.90-0.02vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.06+0.80vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.77-1.81vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College0.44-1.95vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-1.81-0.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62College of Charleston2.4931.0%1st Place
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3.78North Carolina State University1.7812.8%1st Place
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4.13Jacksonville University-1.3812.0%1st Place
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2.93University of Miami2.3224.7%1st Place
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4.98University of South Florida0.906.8%1st Place
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6.8Rollins College-0.062.5%1st Place
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5.19Florida State University0.775.9%1st Place
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6.05Eckerd College0.444.1%1st Place
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8.53University of South Carolina-1.810.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Noah Zittrer | 31.0% | 23.8% | 18.6% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Adam Larson | 12.8% | 16.4% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
Emily Allen | 12.0% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
Atlee Kohl | 24.7% | 22.4% | 18.8% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Andreas Keswater | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 9.8% | 1.5% |
KA Hamner | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 18.5% | 37.1% | 12.9% |
Katie Nelson | 5.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 19.4% | 17.5% | 12.3% | 1.9% |
Carter Morin | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 24.6% | 23.4% | 4.1% |
Jacob Crandall | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 10.8% | 78.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.