Race 4B

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
James Cottage 11.8% 11.7% 13.6% 13.4% 13.5% 12.2% 12.6% 7.6% 3.1% 0.5%
Ryan Ververs 20.8% 21.1% 16.5% 14.0% 10.9% 8.4% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.0%
Ernest Glukhov 14.1% 15.0% 14.8% 14.1% 14.1% 11.5% 9.4% 5.2% 1.5% 0.1%
Jared Cohen 18.8% 16.6% 15.9% 13.7% 12.8% 9.7% 8.1% 3.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Conor Farah 6.6% 8.5% 8.9% 12.3% 11.8% 13.1% 16.0% 13.6% 7.2% 2.1%
Erich Laughlin 7.9% 8.1% 10.8% 11.5% 12.8% 15.0% 13.8% 12.6% 6.1% 1.5%
Alexander Pfeffer 13.4% 12.8% 11.8% 13.8% 13.3% 13.0% 11.8% 7.1% 2.8% 0.4%
Laura Jayne 2.1% 1.8% 2.5% 2.5% 3.7% 6.0% 8.4% 13.5% 30.8% 28.7%
Brian Polak 3.1% 2.7% 3.8% 3.5% 5.1% 7.5% 10.0% 24.2% 24.9% 15.2%
Sebastian Bustamante 1.4% 1.6% 1.6% 1.2% 2.2% 3.6% 5.1% 10.5% 21.3% 51.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.