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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.06+7.18vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.33+5.27vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.33+4.35vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.89+1.47vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.92+3.72vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+0.50vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.71+2.76vs Predicted
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8Brown University4.49-1.29vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.14+2.85vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.00+4.86vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont4.60-4.39vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.85-6.38vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.74-3.35vs Predicted
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14Harvard University4.52-7.20vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut2.60-1.71vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.25-4.59vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire2.78-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.18Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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7.27Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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7.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.330.1%1st Place
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5.47Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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8.72Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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6.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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9.76Roger Williams University3.710.0%1st Place
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6.71Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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11.85University of Rhode Island3.140.0%1st Place
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14.86Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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6.61University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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5.62Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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9.65Connecticut College3.740.0%1st Place
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6.8Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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13.29University of Connecticut2.600.0%1st Place
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11.41Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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12.95University of New Hampshire2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Williams | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Tomas Hornos | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leighton | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Sinks | 12.1% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Samuel Ingham | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Martim Anderson | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| Fred Strammer | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Alex Baittinger | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 6.4% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 11.9% | 17.2% | 44.7% |
| Clinton Hayes | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Barrows | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matt Sterett | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Alan Palmer | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Jon Beery | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 21.5% | 19.7% |
| Alex Takata | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 6.3% |
| Gregg Griffin | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 15.5% | 18.0% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.