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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.52+0.29vs Predicted
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2Rutgers University0.75+1.81vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.56-0.12vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.96-0.36vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.61-0.97vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-1.45+0.12vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.69-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.520.8%1st Place
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3.81Rutgers University0.750.0%1st Place
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2.88Webb Institute1.560.1%1st Place
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3.64Ocean County College0.960.0%1st Place
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4.03Fordham University0.610.0%1st Place
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6.12U. S. Military Academy-1.450.0%1st Place
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6.23University of Delaware-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Sterling | 77.9% | 16.3% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Williams | 4.3% | 14.4% | 22.1% | 25.2% | 24.4% | 8.3% | 1.3% |
| Casey Brown | 9.4% | 34.2% | 27.8% | 18.0% | 8.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Kempton | 3.8% | 19.5% | 23.0% | 24.2% | 22.6% | 6.2% | 0.7% |
| John Wachowicz | 4.1% | 12.2% | 17.6% | 24.1% | 29.1% | 10.4% | 2.5% |
| Victor Ladd | 0.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 8.2% | 41.3% | 42.5% |
| Ben Fairer | 0.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 31.7% | 53.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.