Race 1A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Martins Atilla 20.0% 17.6% 16.9% 13.3% 10.0% 8.8% 6.7% 3.6% 2.5% 0.8%
Luke Hosek 7.0% 7.5% 7.0% 9.2% 10.4% 9.8% 10.0% 12.9% 13.4% 12.7%
Ethan Simpson 14.6% 14.1% 13.6% 13.4% 11.6% 11.1% 9.1% 6.3% 4.3% 1.8%
Kaitlyn Hamilton 9.3% 10.8% 8.2% 9.8% 9.8% 11.5% 12.0% 11.2% 9.8% 7.6%
Yasar Akin 3.5% 4.1% 5.4% 4.7% 6.3% 7.4% 8.8% 10.8% 16.4% 32.6%
William Bailey 9.6% 8.7% 9.6% 10.5% 11.2% 10.5% 10.2% 10.2% 11.5% 8.0%
Sidney Moyer 7.4% 8.5% 8.1% 8.7% 9.3% 10.4% 10.9% 11.7% 13.2% 11.9%
Xander Dalke 7.5% 8.8% 8.8% 9.3% 10.5% 10.3% 11.8% 12.0% 11.2% 9.7%
Connor Macken 12.2% 11.8% 12.8% 11.8% 10.4% 9.7% 9.6% 9.2% 7.4% 5.0%
Ethan Burt 8.8% 8.2% 9.6% 9.2% 10.5% 10.4% 10.8% 12.0% 10.4% 10.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.