Race 2A

bears-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ethan Simpson 15.2% 15.4% 13.1% 12.2% 12.6% 9.7% 8.3% 6.9% 4.7% 2.0%
Martins Atilla 20.3% 16.9% 16.2% 13.0% 11.2% 8.7% 6.3% 3.9% 2.3% 1.1%
Connor Macken 10.9% 11.9% 10.7% 11.8% 11.6% 12.2% 10.1% 8.6% 8.3% 3.8%
Luke Hosek 7.8% 8.3% 8.6% 8.8% 9.0% 9.2% 10.2% 12.1% 12.4% 13.5%
Sidney Moyer 7.7% 8.5% 8.7% 8.8% 9.5% 10.3% 11.2% 12.2% 13.2% 10.0%
Kaitlyn Hamilton 8.8% 9.3% 10.4% 10.5% 11.9% 11.2% 10.4% 10.2% 9.7% 7.6%
William Bailey 9.3% 8.6% 9.7% 10.7% 9.6% 11.1% 12.7% 11.8% 9.6% 7.1%
Ethan Burt 8.2% 8.6% 9.0% 8.9% 9.3% 10.3% 11.7% 11.8% 12.3% 9.8%
Xander Dalke 8.2% 7.8% 9.7% 9.9% 9.3% 10.2% 11.2% 10.4% 13.1% 10.2%
Yasar Akin 3.5% 4.7% 4.0% 5.5% 6.0% 7.2% 7.9% 12.2% 14.3% 34.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.