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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.52+0.31vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.56+0.85vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.96+0.58vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.61+0.06vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University0.75-1.14vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.69+0.32vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-1.45-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.520.8%1st Place
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2.85Webb Institute1.560.1%1st Place
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3.58Ocean County College0.960.1%1st Place
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4.06Fordham University0.610.0%1st Place
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3.86Rutgers University0.750.0%1st Place
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6.32University of Delaware-1.690.0%1st Place
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6.04U. S. Military Academy-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Sterling | 76.1% | 18.4% | 4.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Casey Brown | 10.4% | 34.1% | 28.2% | 16.7% | 9.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Kempton | 6.1% | 16.5% | 24.2% | 26.5% | 20.8% | 5.5% | 0.4% |
| John Wachowicz | 2.5% | 13.4% | 17.7% | 23.5% | 29.5% | 11.8% | 1.6% |
| Courtney Williams | 4.4% | 14.4% | 20.7% | 24.1% | 25.8% | 8.9% | 1.7% |
| Ben Fairer | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 31.6% | 55.7% |
| Victor Ladd | 0.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 40.7% | 40.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.