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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.03+2.72vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.09+3.98vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.01+3.24vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.72+0.43vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.01+1.10vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.24-0.36vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.35+0.67vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.85-3.84vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.06-3.04vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.42-4.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Brown University2.0320.1%1st Place
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5.98Dartmouth College1.097.0%1st Place
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6.24Roger Williams University1.015.9%1st Place
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4.43Brown University1.7214.1%1st Place
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6.1Brown University1.017.2%1st Place
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5.64Roger Williams University1.247.5%1st Place
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7.67Roger Williams University0.352.9%1st Place
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4.16Brown University1.8517.0%1st Place
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5.96University of Vermont1.067.7%1st Place
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5.1Brown University1.4210.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Martins Atilla | 20.1% | 17.9% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
Xander Dalke | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 10.2% |
Luke Hosek | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 13.1% |
Ethan Simpson | 14.1% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
Sidney Moyer | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 12.2% |
William Bailey | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 8.1% |
Yasar Akin | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 37.0% |
Laura Hamilton | 17.0% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
Ethan Burt | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 10.5% |
Connor Macken | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.