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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.52+0.21vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College0.96+1.15vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University0.75+0.40vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.61-0.36vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-0.17-0.44vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-1.45-0.04vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.69-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.520.8%1st Place
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3.15Ocean County College0.960.1%1st Place
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3.4Rutgers University0.750.1%1st Place
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3.64Fordham University0.610.0%1st Place
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4.56Webb Institute-0.170.0%1st Place
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5.96U. S. Military Academy-1.450.0%1st Place
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6.08University of Delaware-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Sterling | 83.0% | 14.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Kempton | 5.8% | 29.0% | 28.7% | 21.5% | 11.4% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Courtney Williams | 5.7% | 23.0% | 25.1% | 24.0% | 16.9% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| John Wachowicz | 2.7% | 21.5% | 24.1% | 23.2% | 19.2% | 8.3% | 1.0% |
| Troy Zangle | 1.9% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 19.3% | 30.7% | 20.0% | 6.9% |
| Victor Ladd | 0.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 6.5% | 12.3% | 35.3% | 40.5% |
| Ben Fairer | 0.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 28.5% | 50.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.