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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University0.35+6.60vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.42+2.92vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.72+1.35vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.09+1.73vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.06+0.78vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.24-0.43vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.24-1.54vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.01-1.95vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.01-3.02vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.03-6.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.6Roger Williams University0.353.9%1st Place
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4.92Brown University1.4212.2%1st Place
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4.35Brown University1.7214.5%1st Place
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5.73Dartmouth College1.098.2%1st Place
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5.78University of Vermont1.068.5%1st Place
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5.57Roger Williams University1.249.3%1st Place
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5.46Brown University1.249.8%1st Place
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6.05Roger Williams University1.016.8%1st Place
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5.98Brown University1.016.6%1st Place
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3.57Brown University2.0320.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Yasar Akin | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 36.5% |
Connor Macken | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% |
Ethan Simpson | 14.5% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
Xander Dalke | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 9.5% |
Ethan Burt | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.2% |
William Bailey | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.2% |
Kaitlyn Hamilton | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.1% |
Luke Hosek | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 12.0% |
Sidney Moyer | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 10.9% |
Martins Atilla | 20.2% | 18.9% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.