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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.52+0.31vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.56+0.83vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.96+0.58vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.61+0.06vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University0.75-1.15vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-1.45+0.13vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.69-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.520.8%1st Place
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2.83Webb Institute1.560.1%1st Place
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3.58Ocean County College0.960.1%1st Place
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4.06Fordham University0.610.0%1st Place
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3.85Rutgers University0.750.0%1st Place
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6.13U. S. Military Academy-1.450.0%1st Place
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6.23University of Delaware-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Sterling | 76.1% | 18.4% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Casey Brown | 10.5% | 34.2% | 28.0% | 17.4% | 8.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Kempton | 6.1% | 16.4% | 24.0% | 26.7% | 20.9% | 5.3% | 0.6% |
| John Wachowicz | 2.5% | 13.3% | 17.9% | 23.2% | 30.0% | 11.6% | 1.5% |
| Courtney Williams | 4.4% | 14.5% | 20.8% | 24.1% | 26.1% | 8.0% | 2.1% |
| Victor Ladd | 0.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 41.7% | 42.9% |
| Ben Fairer | 0.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 31.9% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.