← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College1.09+4.88vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University1.01+4.19vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.72+1.53vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.01+2.15vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.03-1.19vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont1.06-0.04vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.24-1.38vs Predicted
-
8Brown University1.42-2.96vs Predicted
-
9Brown University1.85-4.79vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University0.35-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.88Dartmouth College1.097.5%1st Place
-
6.19Roger Williams University1.017.2%1st Place
-
4.53Brown University1.7213.6%1st Place
-
6.15Brown University1.016.7%1st Place
-
3.81Brown University2.0318.4%1st Place
-
5.96University of Vermont1.067.6%1st Place
-
5.62Roger Williams University1.249.0%1st Place
-
5.04Brown University1.4211.1%1st Place
-
4.21Brown University1.8514.8%1st Place
-
7.62Roger Williams University0.354.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Xander Dalke | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.5% |
Luke Hosek | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 12.8% |
Ethan Simpson | 13.6% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
Sidney Moyer | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 12.5% |
Martins Atilla | 18.4% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
Ethan Burt | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.1% |
William Bailey | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 8.5% |
Connor Macken | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 4.3% |
Laura Hamilton | 14.8% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
Yasar Akin | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 16.5% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.