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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.01+5.23vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.42+3.09vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.72+1.47vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.03-0.21vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.09+0.92vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.85-1.91vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.01-0.82vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.24-2.30vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.06-3.12vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.35-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.23Roger Williams University1.017.4%1st Place
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5.09Brown University1.4210.4%1st Place
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4.47Brown University1.7214.0%1st Place
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3.79Brown University2.0318.3%1st Place
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5.92Dartmouth College1.097.9%1st Place
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4.09Brown University1.8516.0%1st Place
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6.18Brown University1.016.9%1st Place
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5.7Roger Williams University1.248.3%1st Place
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5.88University of Vermont1.067.9%1st Place
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7.64Roger Williams University0.352.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Luke Hosek | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 13.2% |
Connor Macken | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 4.7% |
Ethan Simpson | 14.0% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
Martins Atilla | 18.3% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
Xander Dalke | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 10.4% |
Laura Hamilton | 16.0% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
Sidney Moyer | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 12.4% |
William Bailey | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.4% |
Ethan Burt | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 11.0% |
Yasar Akin | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 17.2% | 35.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.