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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.56+1.43vs Predicted
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2Rutgers University0.75+1.53vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.61+0.73vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-1.30vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.96-1.66vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-1.45+0.08vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.69-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Webb Institute1.560.3%1st Place
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3.53Rutgers University0.750.1%1st Place
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3.73Fordham University0.610.1%1st Place
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2.7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.3%1st Place
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3.34Ocean County College0.960.1%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Military Academy-1.450.0%1st Place
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6.19University of Delaware-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Brown | 33.2% | 25.8% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Courtney Williams | 12.1% | 17.7% | 17.1% | 21.2% | 22.9% | 7.9% | 1.1% |
| John Wachowicz | 10.8% | 13.6% | 17.6% | 20.4% | 26.2% | 10.0% | 1.4% |
| James Gardner | 26.9% | 21.5% | 21.5% | 17.3% | 10.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Kempton | 14.2% | 18.8% | 21.4% | 19.6% | 18.1% | 6.3% | 1.6% |
| Victor Ladd | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 9.2% | 40.0% | 42.7% |
| Ben Fairer | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 31.9% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.