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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.95+3.18vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.58+1.21vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.51+0.47vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.46+1.14vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.11-0.61vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.83-0.22vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.72-1.19vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.90-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.18University of California at San Diego-0.9513.7%1st Place
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3.21University of California at San Diego-0.5821.9%1st Place
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3.47University of California at San Diego-0.5120.4%1st Place
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5.14University of California at San Diego-1.467.8%1st Place
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4.39University of California at San Diego-1.1111.6%1st Place
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5.78University of California at San Diego-1.835.3%1st Place
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5.81University of California at San Diego-1.725.1%1st Place
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4.03University of California at San Diego-0.9014.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Coy | 13.7% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 5.9% |
| Sean Lipps | 21.9% | 21.2% | 18.1% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Andrew Keller | 20.4% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 18.2% | 15.4% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 11.6% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 7.5% |
| Maria Guinness | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 20.8% | 29.0% |
| Michael Nodini | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 17.8% | 31.9% |
| Emma Kalway | 14.2% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.