Race 5B

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alexander Read 18.7% 21.3% 16.2% 15.6% 11.9% 7.9% 5.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Lucas Randle 9.5% 11.5% 10.8% 11.4% 14.0% 14.0% 14.0% 9.7% 4.4% 0.7%
Conor Farah 8.0% 8.0% 9.8% 10.1% 10.4% 14.0% 16.4% 12.7% 8.8% 1.8%
Jared Cohen 19.1% 18.0% 15.8% 15.2% 12.2% 9.4% 6.5% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
Ernest Glukhov 16.1% 14.1% 17.1% 13.5% 13.1% 9.8% 9.0% 5.7% 1.5% 0.2%
James Cottage 13.1% 12.6% 12.7% 13.3% 14.1% 13.0% 11.9% 6.1% 2.8% 0.5%
Erich Laughlin 9.7% 8.0% 10.1% 11.8% 13.1% 16.0% 13.6% 11.3% 5.3% 1.2%
Laura Jayne 2.0% 1.7% 2.4% 2.9% 4.3% 5.5% 7.8% 17.1% 28.1% 28.2%
Brian Polak 2.5% 3.2% 3.6% 4.4% 4.5% 7.2% 10.7% 22.2% 25.8% 15.9%
Sebastian Bustamante 1.4% 1.7% 1.5% 1.8% 2.4% 3.2% 4.3% 10.8% 21.6% 51.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.