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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont4.60+5.24vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.85+3.48vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.00+11.68vs Predicted
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4Tufts University4.33+3.41vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.89+0.37vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.33+1.52vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-0.69vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College4.06+0.25vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.74+0.78vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire2.78+2.87vs Predicted
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11Harvard University4.52-4.13vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University3.92-3.02vs Predicted
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13Brown University4.49-6.12vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.71-4.15vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.14-3.33vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.25-4.59vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut2.60-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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5.48Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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14.68Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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7.41Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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5.37Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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7.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.330.1%1st Place
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6.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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8.25Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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9.78Connecticut College3.740.0%1st Place
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12.87University of New Hampshire2.780.0%1st Place
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6.87Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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8.98Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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6.88Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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9.85Roger Williams University3.710.0%1st Place
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11.67University of Rhode Island3.140.0%1st Place
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11.41Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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13.41University of Connecticut2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clinton Hayes | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Barrows | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 17.4% | 44.4% |
| Tomas Hornos | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Sinks | 12.8% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leighton | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Ingham | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Williams | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Matt Sterett | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Gregg Griffin | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 18.2% | 14.2% |
| Alan Palmer | 10.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Fred Strammer | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Martim Anderson | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 1.3% |
| Alex Baittinger | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 9.3% |
| Alex Takata | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 5.6% |
| Jon Beery | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 21.2% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.