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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.96+2.21vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.56+0.44vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.61+0.76vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-1.28vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University0.75-1.39vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.69+0.28vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-1.45-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Ocean County College0.960.2%1st Place
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2.44Webb Institute1.560.3%1st Place
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3.76Fordham University0.610.1%1st Place
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2.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.3%1st Place
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3.61Rutgers University0.750.1%1st Place
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6.28University of Delaware-1.690.0%1st Place
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5.97U. S. Military Academy-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Kempton | 18.0% | 18.6% | 19.4% | 20.6% | 16.1% | 6.3% | 1.0% |
| Casey Brown | 31.5% | 26.0% | 19.9% | 13.4% | 7.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| John Wachowicz | 11.2% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 19.8% | 28.1% | 10.1% | 1.2% |
| James Gardner | 25.2% | 23.4% | 21.0% | 16.8% | 11.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Courtney Williams | 11.5% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 22.1% | 22.9% | 8.4% | 1.7% |
| Ben Fairer | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 31.0% | 55.7% |
| Victor Ladd | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 40.9% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.