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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.95+2.97vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.51+1.66vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.90+1.07vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.11+0.41vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.58-1.72vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.72-0.20vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.83-1.31vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.46-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97University of California at San Diego-0.9516.0%1st Place
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3.66University of California at San Diego-0.5117.8%1st Place
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4.07University of California at San Diego-0.9014.2%1st Place
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4.41University of California at San Diego-1.1110.3%1st Place
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3.28University of California at San Diego-0.5821.4%1st Place
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5.8University of California at San Diego-1.725.1%1st Place
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5.69University of California at San Diego-1.836.2%1st Place
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5.13University of California at San Diego-1.468.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Coy | 16.0% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 5.5% |
| Andrew Keller | 17.8% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Emma Kalway | 14.2% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 5.9% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 10.3% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 9.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 21.4% | 19.5% | 17.7% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Michael Nodini | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 19.2% | 28.5% |
| Maria Guinness | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 19.2% | 29.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.