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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.51+2.56vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.58+1.23vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.11+1.43vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.90+0.05vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.46+0.16vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.95-1.96vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.72-1.27vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.83-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56University of California at San Diego-0.5117.2%1st Place
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3.23University of California at San Diego-0.5822.8%1st Place
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4.43University of California at San Diego-1.1111.6%1st Place
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4.05University of California at San Diego-0.9015.5%1st Place
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5.16University of California at San Diego-1.467.0%1st Place
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4.04University of California at San Diego-0.9514.8%1st Place
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5.73University of California at San Diego-1.726.0%1st Place
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5.79University of California at San Diego-1.835.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Keller | 17.2% | 18.6% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Sean Lipps | 22.8% | 20.2% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 11.6% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 9.2% |
| Emma Kalway | 15.5% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 6.3% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 17.4% |
| Drake Coy | 14.8% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 5.6% |
| Michael Nodini | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 19.6% | 28.4% |
| Maria Guinness | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 20.1% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.