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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.58+2.23vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.95+1.98vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.90+1.04vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.51-0.45vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.83+0.86vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.46-0.88vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.72-1.27vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.11-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23University of California at San Diego-0.5822.1%1st Place
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3.98University of California at San Diego-0.9515.3%1st Place
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4.04University of California at San Diego-0.9013.8%1st Place
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3.55University of California at San Diego-0.5118.4%1st Place
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5.86University of California at San Diego-1.835.1%1st Place
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5.12University of California at San Diego-1.467.6%1st Place
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5.73University of California at San Diego-1.726.1%1st Place
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4.49University of California at San Diego-1.1111.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Lipps | 22.1% | 19.8% | 18.8% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Drake Coy | 15.3% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 5.1% |
| Emma Kalway | 13.8% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 5.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 18.4% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Maria Guinness | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 19.2% | 31.2% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 17.2% |
| Michael Nodini | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 19.6% | 28.1% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 11.7% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.