← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at San Diego-0.58+2.21vs Predicted
-
2University of California at San Diego-0.90+2.02vs Predicted
-
3University of California at San Diego-0.95+1.02vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego-0.51-0.44vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego-1.83+0.68vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego-1.72-0.22vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.79vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego-1.11-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.21University of California at San Diego-0.5822.9%1st Place
-
4.02University of California at San Diego-0.9013.2%1st Place
-
4.02University of California at San Diego-0.9514.0%1st Place
-
3.56University of California at San Diego-0.5119.6%1st Place
-
5.68University of California at San Diego-1.836.3%1st Place
-
5.78University of California at San Diego-1.725.6%1st Place
-
5.21University of California at San Diego-1.467.2%1st Place
-
4.53University of California at San Diego-1.1111.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Lipps | 22.9% | 20.4% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Emma Kalway | 13.2% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 4.8% |
| Drake Coy | 14.0% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 4.9% |
| Andrew Keller | 19.6% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 2.3% |
| Maria Guinness | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 19.3% | 28.5% |
| Michael Nodini | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 19.4% | 30.2% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 18.5% | 17.5% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.