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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.51+2.56vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.90+2.00vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.95+1.05vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.58-0.77vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.72+0.76vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.46-0.83vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.83-1.19vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.11-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56University of California at San Diego-0.5118.6%1st Place
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4.0University of California at San Diego-0.9013.9%1st Place
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4.05University of California at San Diego-0.9514.6%1st Place
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3.23University of California at San Diego-0.5822.1%1st Place
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5.76University of California at San Diego-1.725.7%1st Place
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5.17University of California at San Diego-1.468.3%1st Place
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5.81University of California at San Diego-1.834.2%1st Place
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4.41University of California at San Diego-1.1112.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Keller | 18.6% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Emma Kalway | 13.9% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 4.6% |
| Drake Coy | 14.6% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 6.3% |
| Sean Lipps | 22.1% | 21.1% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Michael Nodini | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 18.8% | 29.5% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 19.2% | 17.3% |
| Maria Guinness | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 20.2% | 28.5% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.