← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at San Diego-0.90+3.11vs Predicted
-
2University of California at San Diego-0.95+2.00vs Predicted
-
3University of California at San Diego-0.58+0.25vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego-0.51-0.37vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego-1.72+0.75vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego-1.46-0.89vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-1.83-1.25vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego-1.11-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.11University of California at San Diego-0.9013.3%1st Place
-
4.0University of California at San Diego-0.9514.8%1st Place
-
3.25University of California at San Diego-0.5822.4%1st Place
-
3.63University of California at San Diego-0.5118.4%1st Place
-
5.75University of California at San Diego-1.725.3%1st Place
-
5.11University of California at San Diego-1.468.4%1st Place
-
5.75University of California at San Diego-1.836.3%1st Place
-
4.4University of California at San Diego-1.1110.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kalway | 13.3% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 5.9% |
| Drake Coy | 14.8% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 5.3% |
| Sean Lipps | 22.4% | 21.1% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Andrew Keller | 18.4% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Michael Nodini | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 29.1% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 18.1% |
| Maria Guinness | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 19.8% | 28.6% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 10.9% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.