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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.51+2.67vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.58+1.25vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.11+1.46vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.72+1.72vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.83+0.68vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.46-0.85vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.90-3.00vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.95-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67University of California at San Diego-0.5117.5%1st Place
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3.25University of California at San Diego-0.5822.4%1st Place
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4.46University of California at San Diego-1.1111.8%1st Place
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5.72University of California at San Diego-1.725.9%1st Place
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5.68University of California at San Diego-1.835.9%1st Place
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5.15University of California at San Diego-1.467.6%1st Place
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4.0University of California at San Diego-0.9014.5%1st Place
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4.06University of California at San Diego-0.9514.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Keller | 17.5% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Sean Lipps | 22.4% | 19.4% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 11.8% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 9.2% |
| Michael Nodini | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 18.6% | 28.9% |
| Maria Guinness | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 19.4% | 29.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 17.4% |
| Emma Kalway | 14.5% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 4.9% |
| Drake Coy | 14.3% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.