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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.51+2.52vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.58+1.33vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.11+1.43vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.72+1.71vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.83+0.71vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.90-2.03vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.79vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.95-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52University of California at San Diego-0.5119.3%1st Place
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3.33University of California at San Diego-0.5821.1%1st Place
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4.43University of California at San Diego-1.1112.8%1st Place
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5.71University of California at San Diego-1.725.8%1st Place
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5.71University of California at San Diego-1.836.3%1st Place
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3.97University of California at San Diego-0.9014.0%1st Place
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5.21University of California at San Diego-1.467.8%1st Place
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4.13University of California at San Diego-0.9512.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Keller | 19.3% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 3.2% |
| Sean Lipps | 21.1% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 12.8% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 9.0% |
| Michael Nodini | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 18.9% | 27.6% |
| Maria Guinness | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 30.5% |
| Emma Kalway | 14.0% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 4.5% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 18.8% | 17.6% |
| Drake Coy | 12.8% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.