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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.71+8.21vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.85+3.37vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.49+3.64vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.33+3.21vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.92+3.46vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.89-0.48vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.66+2.66vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-1.85vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont4.60-2.54vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut2.60+2.88vs Predicted
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11Tufts University4.33-3.59vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.14-0.74vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College4.06-4.67vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.25-2.90vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.00-0.85vs Predicted
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16Harvard University4.52-9.44vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.10-0.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.21Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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5.37Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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6.64Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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7.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.330.1%1st Place
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8.46Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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5.52Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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9.66Connecticut College3.660.0%1st Place
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6.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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12.88University of Connecticut2.600.0%1st Place
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7.41Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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11.26University of Rhode Island3.140.0%1st Place
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8.33Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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11.1Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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14.15Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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6.56Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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16.62University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martim Anderson | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Barrows | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fred Strammer | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leighton | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Sinks | 12.3% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Marshall | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Ingham | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clinton Hayes | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jon Beery | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 14.3% | 20.5% | 21.3% | 3.1% |
| Tomas Hornos | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Baittinger | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 0.7% |
| Sam Williams | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Alex Takata | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 8.8% | 0.7% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 15.4% | 41.2% | 10.9% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Whit Durant | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 8.9% | 83.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.