Race 6B

delaware-spring-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jared Cohen 19.0% 18.1% 15.5% 15.0% 12.8% 9.6% 5.8% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Alexander Read 20.0% 18.9% 16.4% 13.1% 11.8% 10.1% 6.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
Lucas Randle 10.4% 9.7% 9.3% 12.4% 15.0% 13.6% 14.0% 10.2% 4.4% 1.0%
Ernest Glukhov 14.2% 14.2% 14.9% 15.6% 13.4% 11.1% 9.6% 5.2% 1.6% 0.1%
Conor Farah 8.6% 8.7% 9.9% 10.9% 12.4% 12.4% 15.5% 12.4% 7.2% 1.8%
Erich Laughlin 8.6% 9.8% 11.7% 11.7% 12.0% 14.8% 13.9% 11.3% 5.0% 1.2%
James Cottage 13.6% 12.6% 13.7% 12.4% 12.3% 12.6% 11.5% 7.4% 3.2% 0.7%
Laura Jayne 1.8% 2.3% 2.8% 3.1% 3.7% 5.5% 6.5% 16.0% 30.9% 27.5%
Brian Polak 2.6% 3.6% 4.5% 4.1% 4.9% 7.3% 11.9% 20.8% 24.5% 15.8%
Sebastian Bustamante 0.9% 1.9% 1.4% 1.6% 1.8% 3.1% 5.5% 10.5% 21.8% 51.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.